Derby vs Norwich preview, predictions, H2H stats

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The match between Derby and Norwich in the Championship round 11 will be played at Pride Park on 21.10.2025. Kick-off time is 18:45 local time in Derby.

Where to Watch

Watch live on these TV channels: Sky Sports+ (UK/Irl). Follow the live stream on: 22Bet, 1xBet.kz, 1xBet, Betclic.pt, bet365.nl, bet365.

Current Team Form

Derby are currently 20th in the league table with 8 points from 9 matches. In the last 5 matches, their form is D-D-D-L-W. Their last league match was a 1:1 home draw against Southampton. Norwich are 19th with 8 points from 9 matches. Their last 5 matches are L-L-D-L-D, and they lost their last league match 3:1 away to Ipswich.

Key Players to Watch

Derby have Carlton Morris among the league top 10 scorers, ranked joint 10th with 4 goals. Norwich feature Joshua Sargent, who is joint 4th in the league with 5 goals. If players have the same number of goals, the final ranking in the top 10 is determined by assists.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2, Norwich won 2, and 1 ended in a draw. The most recent match was in February 2025 and finished 1:1.

Historical stats from this season show Derby scored 6 goals at home (55% of their total 11 goals) and conceded 9 (60% of their total 15 goals). They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per home game, which is 0.05 less scored and 0.3 more conceded than away. In goals scored at home, they are joint 8th; in goals conceded at home, they are joint 21st.

Historical stats from this season show Norwich scored 7 goals away (64% of their total 11 goals) and conceded 6 (43% of their total 14 goals). They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per away game, which is 0.4 more scored and 0.8 less conceded than at home. In goals scored away, they are joint 8th; in goals conceded away, they are joint 15th.

From the 8 most recent head-to-head encounters, 2 matches had 0 or 1 goal, 4 had 2 or 3 goals, and 2 had 4 or more. The most common total was 2 goals, occurring 3 times. Derby converted 12 of 66 attempts (18.18%), Norwich 11 of 76 (14.47%). Derby averaged 1.5 goals per match in these games, 0.28 more than their season average. Norwich averaged 1.38, 0.16 more than their season average.

Hot Stats

- Derby have received the highest number of yellow cards in the league this season. In 9 matches they have received 29 yellow cards (the league average is 18.4) at an average of 3.2 per match.

- Norwich are in the Top 3 teams for the most losses in the league this season, losing 5 out of 9 matches.

- Norwich are in the Top 3 teams for the most goal attempts allowed in the league this season. In 9 matches they have allowed 143 goal attempts (the league average is 112.9) at an average of 15.9 per match.

Streaks

- Derby failed to win any of their last 5 home league matches this season.

- Norwich have scored in their last 5 away league matches this season.

- Derby have scored in 8 of their last 9 league matches this season.

Betting Tips, Prediction

- Only 1 of the last 8 H2H league matches saw Derby score 3 or more goals.

- In 6 of the last 8 H2H league matches when Derby have scored at least one goal, they did not lose the match.

- Norwich have scored at least one goal in 7 of the last 8 H2H league matches.

- Win probability based on the average odds: Derby wins: 35%, Norwich wins: 36%, Draw: 29%.

- Score prediction: At most 4 goals in total (under 4.5).

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