Sao Paulo vs Bahia preview, predictions, H2H stats

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The Serie A Betano round 30 match between Sao Paulo and Bahia is set for 26.10.2025, with kick-off at 00:30 at Estadio Do MorumBIS in Sao Paulo.

Where to Watch

Follow the live stream on: 1xBet.kz, 1xBet, bet365.nl, bet365.

Current Team Form

Sao Paulo currently holds 9th place with 38 points from 29 matches. In the last 5 matches, their form is L-L-L-W-L, with a 3-match losing streak. Their last league match was a 3:0 away loss to Mirassol. Bahia is 6th with 46 points from 28 matches, showing W-L-W-L-W in the last 5 matches. Their last league match was a 4:0 home win over Gremio.

Key Players to Watch

For Sao Paulo, Luciano leads with 6 goals. For Bahia, Willian Jose also has 6 goals. Neither player is in the league top 10 scorers, as final ranking considers assists when players have equal goals.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 5 meetings, Sao Paulo won 3 times, Bahia won once, and there was 1 draw. The latest match was in May 2025, with Bahia winning 2:1.

Historical stats from this season show Sao Paulo scored 18 goals at home (58% of 31 total) and conceded 13 (39% of 33 total). They average 1.29 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per home game, ranking 12th in home goals scored and sharing 9th in home goals conceded.

Historical stats from this season for Bahia show 14 goals scored away (36% of 39 total) and 22 conceded (69% of 32 total). They average 1 goal scored and 1.57 conceded per away game, ranking 11th in away goals scored and 9th in away goals conceded.

From the 9 most recent head-to-head encounters, 4 matches had 0 or 1 goal, 3 had 2 or 3, and 2 had 4 or more. The most common total was 1 goal, occurring 3 times. Sao Paulo converted 13.83% of 94 attempts, Bahia 6.98% of 86. Sao Paulo averaged 1.44 goals per match in these, 0.37 more than their season average. Bahia averaged 0.67, 0.72 less than their season average.

Hot Stats

- Sao Paulo are in the Top 3 teams for the most fouls committed in the league this season. In 29 matches they have committed 425 fouls (the league average is 396.9) at an average of 14.7 per match.

- Bahia are in the Top 3 teams for the lowest number of free kicks conceded in the league this season. In 28 matches they have conceded 347 free kicks (the league average is 393.1) at an average of 12.4 per match.

- Bahia are in the Top 3 teams for the least amount of fouls committed in the league this season. In 28 matches they have committed 349 fouls (the league average is 396.9) at an average of 12.5 per match.

Streaks

- Bahia have scored in 17 of their last 18 league matches this season.

- Bahia failed to win any of their last 5 away league matches this season.

- Sao Paulo have lost their last 2 home league matches this season.

Betting Tips, Prediction

- Bahia have failed to score in both halves in the last 9 H2H league matches against Sao Paulo.

- In 6 of the last 9 H2H league matches when Sao Paulo have scored at least one goal, they did not lose the match.

- Only 1 of the last 9 H2H league matches saw Bahia score 2 or more goals.

- Win probability based on the average odds: Sao Paulo wins: 32%, Bahia wins: 28%, Draw: 40%.

- Score prediction: At least 3 goals in total (over 2.5).

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