Mainz vs Dortmund preview, predictions, H2H stats

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The match between Mainz and Dortmund in the Bundesliga will be played on 27.09.2025. Kick-off time is 13:30 at Mewa Arena in Mainz. This is round 5 of the league.

Where to Watch

Watch live on these TV channels: Viaplay (Ice), Onefootball, beIN Connect (Nzl), Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 (Sui), beIN Connect (Lao), Tapmad (Pak), beIN Sports 3 (Sgp), beIN SPORTS MAX (Sgp), beIN Sports 3 (Hkg). Follow the live stream on: 1xBet, 1xBet.kz, 22Bet, Caliente, Betclic.pt, bet365.nl, bet365.

Current Team Form

Mainz are 13th in the table with 4 points from 4 matches. In the last 4 matches, their form is W-L-D-L. Their last league match was a 4:1 away win against Augsburg. Dortmund are 2nd with 10 points from 4 matches. Their form in the last 4 matches is W-W-W-D, with a current 3-match win streak. Their last league match was a 1:0 home win over Wolfsburg.

Key Players to Watch

For Mainz, the top scorers are Kaishu Sano, Armindo Sieb, Paul Nebel, Dominik Kohr, and Nadiem Amiri, each with 1 goal. For Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy is in the league top 10, ranked 3rd with 4 goals. If players have the same number of goals, the final ranking in the top 10 is determined by assists.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 5 matches between Mainz and Dortmund, Mainz won 2, Dortmund won 1, and there were 2 draws. The latest match was in March 2025, ending 3:1 in favor of Dortmund.

Mainz - Dortmund
Mainz - DortmundFlashscore

Historical stats from this season: Mainz scored 0 goals at home (0% of their total 5 goals) and conceded 2 (50% of their total 4 goals). They average 0 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per home game. Their home goals scored rank is 17th, while goals conceded at home rank is 6th.

Historical stats from this season: Dortmund scored 5 goals away (56% of their total 9 goals) and conceded 3 (100% of their total 3 goals). They average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per away game. Their away goals scored rank is 3rd, and goals conceded away rank is 6th.

From the 8 most recent head-to-head encounters, 1 match had 1 or fewer goals, 3 had 2 or 3 goals, and 4 had 4 or more goals. The most common total was 4 goals, occurring 4 times. Mainz converted 12 of 81 attempts (14.81%), Dortmund 13 of 109 (11.93%). Mainz averaged 1.5 goals per match in these games, 0.25 more than their season average. Dortmund averaged 1.62, 0.63 less than their season average.

Hot Stats

- Dortmund have lost the lowest amount of matches in the league this season, losing 0 out of 4 matches. There is one other team with the same record: Bayern Munich.

- Mainz are in the Top 3 teams for the most red cards received in the league this season. In 4 matches they have received 2 red cards (the league average is 0.6).

- Dortmund are in the Top 3 teams for goals scored in the league this season. In 4 matches they have scored 9 goals (the league average is 7.2) at an average of 2.2 per match.

Streaks

- Dortmund are unbeaten in the last 4 league matches this season.

- Mainz have lost their last 2 home league matches this season.

- Dortmund have scored in 8 of their last 9 away league matches against Mainz.

Betting Tips, Prediction

- 6 of the last 8 H2H league matches saw 2 or more goals scored.

- In 6 of the last 8 H2H league matches when Dortmund have scored at least one goal, they did not lose the match.

- Only 1 of the last 8 H2H league matches saw Mainz score at least one goal in both halves.

- Win probability based on the average odds: Mainz wins: 39%, Dortmund wins: 31%, Draw: 29%.

- Score prediction: At least 4 goals in total (over 3.5).

Generated automatically.

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